
Tesla is about to launch a design refresh for Mannequin Y, its hottest mannequin, and it raises an necessary query: can it reignite Tesla’s progress?
Fortuitously, we have now an excellent latest comparability since Tesla refreshed the Mannequin 3 final yr.
Tesla doesn’t break down gross sales per mannequin so we have now to depend on third-party knowledge to trace Mannequin 3 gross sales.
There are various estimates, however most of them are placing Tesla Mannequin 3 gross sales between 500,000 and 530,000 models in 2023 previous to the refresh.
In 2024, estimates are placing gross sales at roughly the identical.
Tesla supply analyst TroyTeslike has knowledge pointing to 520,000 Mannequin 3 deliveries in 2024. The manufacturing changeover has actually affected gross sales within the first of the yr, however it seems to be like manufacturing and deliveries peaked in Q3 as Troy has Mannequin 3 on the identical quantity of about 149,000 models in Q3 and This autumn.
As with all different Tesla fashions, the peaked supply volumes had been additionally achieved with report incentives and reductions in This autumn.
Can Mannequin Y refresh be totally different?
Mannequin 3 refresh didn’t assist this system that a lot. It’s nearly doing the identical supply volumes it was final yr, however it doesn’t essentially imply the identical will occur with Mannequin Y.
A variety of that relies on the refresh itself.
Earlier immediately, we had our greatest have a look at the refresh to this point, and it’s much like the Mannequin 3 refresh within the sense that it options new headlights and taillights, though totally different ones than Mannequin 3, together with gentle bars, in addition to a extra aggressive front-end.

The extent of exterior modifications is much like the Mannequin 3 refresh in phrases that it’s important however not massively totally different both.
Tesla didn’t go into too many particulars about “beneath the hood” modifications with the Mannequin 3 refresh, however it did function an improved suspension, a quieter cabin, and a slight enhance in effectivity.
We will count on comparable enhancements to the Mannequin Y.
There have been some modifications that folks noticed as damaging, with the primary one being the brand new steering wheel. Mannequin Y remains to be the one car in Tesla’s lineup that doesn’t have a stalkless steering wheel with power contact flip alerts and a gear selector on the middle show.
Contemplating all different Tesla autos went that manner, that is anticipated to vary with the Mannequin Y refresh. Personally, I didn’t have any drawback adapting to the brand new flip alerts when driving the brand new Mannequin 3 and Cybertruck, however I do admit that the gear selector is annoying.
I do know many Tesla followers refused to get a Tesla car with steering wheel stalks.
Electrek’s Take
Based mostly on the data we have now proper now, I might count on the Mannequin Y refresh to have an analogous influence because the Mannequin 3 refresh, however we might get a shock.
Clearly, if there have been important enhancements to the vary, that will make an enormous distinction, however I might solely count on small incremental enhancements at finest.
A much bigger shock could be Tesla bringing one thing just like the steer-by-wire and a 48-volt structure from Cybertruck to Mannequin Y. It’s a must to strive it to understand it, however the steer-by-wire on Cybertruck is tremendous enjoyable.
The design replace seems to be good, however I assumed the Mannequin 3 redesign was even sharper, and it didn’t have a lot of an influence. I feel new options or extra effectivity/vary could be essentially the most important distinction makers.
What do you assume? Tell us within the remark part under.
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